Guesses on What Cost the Republicans Tuesday

When something goes seriously wrong for people, and they want to fix it, it often is a good first step to identify the cause of the failure. In this case, that is easy. The cause of Tuesday’s debacle for Republicans was Donald Trump. 

Many people would have supported a resolute, congressionally authorized war with Iran to disarm the mullahs and free the Iranian people but would not support a multi-month vacillating fiasco of “going to bomb them back to the stone age” one day, and “no we’ve just about got a deal” the next.  Many people would have supported liberating Venezuela from a dictatorship but would not support a crude grab for oil that abandoned the people of Venezuela and left the dictatorship in place. Many people who saw Ukraine as right and Putin’s Russia as wrong did not like their government not seeing it  that way. More generally  many people who thought we should side with our allies, oppose our enemies, not behave as a rogue international bully, and defend the liberal order were repulsed by what they saw from Trump. 

Many Hispanics liked the idea of removing illegal aliens who committed crimes and deporting some of the wave of illegals who arrived over Biden’s open border. They did not like the government going after law abiding friends and neighbors who had been here for years and who had been invited in implicitly by our government (and neither did many non-Hispanics). That made a difference in my state of Texas and other places.

Tariffs are a tax on consumers that shows up in higher prices for goods. Disruptions in  delivery cause prices of petroleum products to go up. People noticed the higher prices and did not like them. Some people who criticized Obama for power mania and the Biden family  for corruptly enriching themselves and their buddies did not like those sorts of things any better coming from a Republican (and coming  in worse and more blatant ways). People holding the old fashioned notion that the President of the United States should behave in public with some dignity and an appearance of decency and reasonableness probably did not like what they got from Trump along those lines. 

There also was difficulty for Republicans in finding issues to run on. Their usual issues - somewhat  less government and somewhat more economic  freedom, smaller federal deficits, opposition to government ownership of businesses, resisting new taxes,  support for allies and international trade, defending the right to free speech,  opposition to Russian and Chinese  dictatorships, and respect for laws - were inconsistent with Trump and Trumpism. They almost were left with not liking nude boys in locker rooms with girls, and that was not enough.

If conservatives want to make a comeback any time soon, they need to realize they bet the wrong horse and try something different. It is both the right and the pragmatic thing for them to do. I wonder if they will have the sense to do it. They cannot count on getting a change of direction from Trump. The appointment of Miller shows that.  

Yesterday's Election

 

“You’re going to need more than one lesson,

and you’re going to get more than one lesson.”

- Boss James Gettys to Charles Foster Kane

after destroying Kane’s political career

Maybe yesterday’s lesson will be the one that finally will take with the stupid Republicans. None of the others has. Republican voters had an opportunity to select one of several qualified candidates who generally favored usual Republican principles and policies to run against and probably defeat Hillary Clinton in 2016. Instead they foolishly chose Trump – an arrogant, unprincipled demagogue, unfit by intellect, temperament, knowledge, and fidelity to the Constitution to hold any political office. When he squeaked by Clinton, they attributed the victory to his imagined political magnetism and appeal rather than to the good luck of running against a very unpopular opponent at a time when the country was ready for change after eight years of a Democratic administration. They should have learned something from the way the first administration went. They should have learned a lesson from the beating their candidates took in the midterm elections of 2018. They should have learned a lesson from him being defeated easily in 2020 by a mentally declining party hack. From the illegal and unconstitutional attempt to remain in power after that defeat, they should have learned the crucial lesson that Trump should be permanently disqualified from holding any elective office. They should have seen that his victory in 2024 was neither a landslide nor a result of his popularity but rather another close victory over a weak and unpopular opponent. Instead they bought the myth of Trump’s great political appeal and got arrogant.

Republicans claim to believe in limited government. Trump has given them a would be Duce demanding unlimited executive power. Republicans generally have believed in international trade and supported the NATO alliance. Trump has given them a crude mercantilism, tariffs, and attacks on the alliance. Republicans generally have favored capitalism and freer markets. Trump has given them top down industrial policy, corruption, and what has been called a neo-feudalism run for the benefit of the ruler and his associates. Republicans formerly stayed away from racial bigots and nativists. Trump has embraced them. Republicans used to do a better job than Democrats on liberty and fidelity to the Constitution. Trump has fixed that one too.

Republicans abandoned the things they claimed to believe for political gain, and what it finally got them was yesterday’s beatings. The lesson should be clear. Their multi-year disgraceful surrender to Trump did not work. If they want a better future, it needs to be one without Trump or Trumpism. The should not want too many more such lessons, but if they do not wise up, they probably will get some.

Trump's Diesel Deal

 Trump has announced a plan to acquire some diesel fuel from Putin’s Russia, ignoring and probably violating a law he signed less than a month ago putting sanctions on energy exports from Russia, a law intended to help Ukraine in its war with Russia. Some people have accused him of treason because of it. In a legal sense he is not a traitor to the United States. He is a traitor to what the United States stands for. He has disgraced our country by siding with a hostile foreign tyranny against a wronged friendly nation in wartime.   

He did not even get much for his betrayal. The whole deal is farcically sick. The great deal do-er abandoned our principles and sold out our friends for a little over 5.9 million barrels of diesel fuel, which is about two days worth of diesel consumption in our country and less than two day's worth of diesel production at American refineries. You have to wonder what he would have given Putin for something that mattered.

I have seen people claim that he is Putin’s puppet. I do not think that is accurate. I think something almost as bad is. I believe he likes and envies Putin and would like to be his buddy and to be able to rule the same way the Russian does (and the same way other tyrants such as Xi do).

 The deal does offer a good way for  testing commentators and journalists on the right. Those who oppose it deserve approval. Those who keep quiet might get a benefit of the doubt. Those who support it should not be taken seriously when talking about defending freedom or when criticizing Democrats for being too cozy with our enemies. 

Sprague De Camp Nonfiction

 

L. Sprague de Camp is mainly known as a writer of fiction – especially science fiction and fantasy. Much of it is still in print, and more can be found in used bookstores on on Ebay. I have found that he also wrote some interesting and worthwhile nonfiction, sometimes in collaboration with his wife Catherine.

Lost Continents is a history of the Atlantis and related myths from the time of Plato to the 1950s, a survey of literature on the subject, and an amusing treatment of various crackpots and their theories of lost continents and of various cultists who included tales of lost continents in their doctrines. It covers its subjects thoroughly.

The Heroic Age of American Invention is a history of American inventors and inventions in the 19^th Century. De Camp was an expert on patents and patent law, and there is a little too much inside baseball on patent fights and litigation, but the stories are fascinating and informative.

The title of The Ancient Engineers is misleading. The book actually covers remarkable feats of engineering and design in various cultures from the building of the pyramids to the Renaissance.

Citadels of Mystery has another fairly misleading title. In considering several remarkable structures built in places around the world in pre-industrial times, it refutes a number of fantastic theories and clears up some mysteries about their origins. It treats the cultures that built them fairly and objectively, rejecting spurious 19^th Century racial theories while also avoiding sappy romanticizing of the sort popular in our time.

De Camp was a fair and thoughtful historian here, and a good writer. That is a fine combination, and these four books are worth reading.

Merz on Free Speech

 

A few days ago Chancellor Friedrich Merz made a point of ridiculing the notion of free speech as a wrongheaded American libertarian quirk. He is an easy person to ignore, but his comment does deserve an answer. I thought of this one:

Herr Merz:

A little over eighty years ago men of my father’s generation did some serious business in Europe to guarantee, among other things, that we did not have to care what Germans thought about free speech. We still don’t.

The Coming Election

 

I believe Donald Trump should have been impeached and convicted for his illegal and unconstitutional attempt to remain in power after losing the 2020 election. I believe he is an arrogant, boorish, unprincipled would be Duce, unfit in knowledge, character, temperament, intellect, and judgment to hold the office of president. I believe he is a thoroughly despicable human being, a disgrace to the office, and an embarrassment to the nation. And I think his erratic behavior and crazed online rants are sufficient evidence to justify removal through the 25^th Amendment. He is the worst thing in the present political environment, but apart from him much of the rest of it is far from good.

Looking at the two parties, both are jokingly bad on dealing with the national debt and the annual deficit. Republicans are better on curtailing illegal immigration and dealing with illegal alien criminals, but worse on behavior toward otherwise law abiding illegal aliens who have been here a while. Democrats are better on opposing Russia and supporting Ukraine, but worse on opposing Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, and other jihadists and on unreservedly defending liberal civilization against them. Neither party is doing enough about the danger in the Pacific region from China. Republicans still may be better than Democrats on issues of liberty, individual rights, and supporting the cause of freedom in the world, but the gap has closed - not by Democrats getting better but by Republicans getting much worse. Republicans are better than Democrats on energy and reducing unnecessary regulation, while Democrats now are better than Republicans on opposing excessive executive power. Democrats have a dangerous faction of authoritarian socialists while Republicans have a dangerous faction of authoritarian national conservatives. Crooks and grifters abound in both parties, but Trump and his relatives and pals are wildly corrupt enough to give the Democrats an edge on corruption at the national level at least. Overall neither gang is anything to feel good about supporting.

Still a person needs to vote. It is tempting to vote solely on my opinion of Trump, but I do not think that is right. He is not on the ballot. He will be gone in two years, while some of the victors in the midterm elections will be in office well after that. Most of the races where I vote are not seriously contested ones. The Republicans will win them. The exceptions are the races for United States senator between James Talarico and Ken Paxton and the race for a seat on the railroad commission between Bo French and Jon Rosenthal.

The second one is the easy one. French is a racial and nativist bigot, probably an antisemite, and on the evidence a genuine buffoon. He has called for deporting one hundred million people, pushed a phony scare about sharia law coming to Texas, called his opponent in the primary runoff incumbent Jim Wright “Jihadi Jim” (presumably because Wright knew the business of the commission was oil and gas, not bleating about sharia), demanded deporting some American Indians he did not like, freaked out over some Asian Americans attending a football game, and attacked his present opponent for his religious beliefs The lieutenant governor tried to get him removed from his position as a county party chair because of his antisemitism. The governor has been quoted as saying the man knows nothing about oil and gas. I do not know much about Rosenthal, but he seems to be a fairly ordinary center-left suburban Texas Democrat. He is an engineer with some experience in the oil and gas industry. The proposals listed on his campaign website seem sensible and benign on the surface, and the commission still will have a Republican majority in case some of them really are not. I am planning on voting for him as of now and will not vote for French in any case. Republicans, including primary voters, need to learn that they can lose a statewide election in Texas if their candidate is repulsive enough.

The senate race is harder. Paxton is shifty scoundrel who played a big part in Trump’s attempt to overturn the election of 2020. Later his wife dumped him for infidelity, employees in his office accused him of various wrongdoing, and the Republican controlled Texas house impeached him (though he was not convicted in the state senate). Talarico is a creepy Austin leftist trying to sell a fake moderate act to voters. He is on record as opposing the oil and gas industry, calling capitalism an oppressive system and a tool of white supremacy that must be demolished, and resisting efforts to strengthen border security, things he probably really believes in but for obvious reasons is not pushing during the campaign. Neither of the candidates is qualified to be elected to the board of a home owners association in Dogpatch.

The winner will be in office for six years. Trump will be gone in two. I do not think Democrats will get to the fifty seats they would need elsewhere to make a Democrat senator from Texas give them a majority in the senate. I do not see any likelihood of the senate convicting Trump after a Democrat controlled house impeaches him. I do think Talarico is likely to voter more often than Paxton for things that will make my life worse and the country worse. So my plan now is to run some Vicks VapoRub on my upper lip to mask the stench and vote for Paxton. It is a hell of a note.

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Correction on Data Centers

 

In an earlier post on data centers I failed to  separate the issue of AI centers for military use from that of AI centers for civilian use. Development on the military side should go full speed ahead to avoid being put at a disadvantage by China (but I would assume military AI centers should be placed in hardened sites with their own sources of power anyway). While I think the freaking out over data centers is excessive and sometimes silly, civilian use AI data centers should be built only where there are adequate sources of power and water, and their owners should pay for any improvements to utilities needed to support them. It does not hurt to slow down and make sure those conditions will be met.  I should have understood  and appreciated the differences between the two cases.

Fauci and Covid

 

Anthony Fauci was back in the new lately, both for refusing to answer questions under oath about what he did during the Covid epidemic (despite having a presidential pardon in his pocket) and for things in a diary he kept during the epidemic. Many Trumpists and some ordinary Republicans saw this as evidence that everything or almost everything officials did about the epidemic was wrong, and everything or almost everything they said during the epidemic was a lie. Many leftists and some ordinary Democrats took the positions that there really was nothing to see, that Fauci and other officials did a fine job and dealt honestly with the public, that officials had no political biases and nothing to hide or cover up, and, for many, that Fauci was still a saint, but now also a persecuted one. It was an embarrassing and silly show from both factions.

Fauci behaved dishonestly. He suppressed evidence that the disease originated in the virology lab in Wuhan, likely at least partially because he and colleagues had had a hand in funding and supporting activities at the lab which led to development of the virus. During the epidemic he frequently ignored obvious uncertainties and dismissed reasonable doubts, including some of his own, to deliver apodictic sounding statements to the public. He was arrogant and vain , to the point of declaring that he “was” science. If there is another crisis in public health, it will be harder to get the public to believe it or to trust officials to know what to do about it, partly because of things he said and did.

Many things went wrong during the Covid epidemic. Closing schools was wrong. Shutting down much of the economic and social life of the nation was wrong. Requesting or requiring the same behavior from healthy young people who had little risk as from the old people who really were in danger was wrong. The draconian enforcement of masking was wrong and also demeaning annoying, and idiotic. Suppressing evidence and attempting to squelch discussion about the origin of the disease was wrong. Over selling the effectiveness of the vaccines was wrong and counterproductive. Public health officials and American politicians, including two presidents, did not perform optimally, and often not even adequately.

None of this justifies some of the stuff we are hearing from the right. There is an absurd claim from some conservatives that Covid was no big deal, but rather something no more significant or dangerous than the yearly flu. Some call it the Wu-flu or something similar. That is nonsense. In each of the years 2020 and 2021 several hundred thousand more Americans died than in years before 2020 or after 2021. There were increases in deaths from some other causes in those two years, but, after factoring for them, there remain over 300,000 deaths in 2020 and over 400,000 in 2021 from Covid. The data on this are easy to get with a simple internet search for deaths in each year by cause.

Then there is the claim that the vaccines were ineffective and useless or worse. The evidence is strong that the mRNA vaccines worked well when they first came out and, especially when augmented by annual booster shots, worked fairly well at preventing infection and making infections less severe later on. Development and approval of the vaccines were rushed. Some people had unpleasant reactions to the shots. There should have more caution about effects on pregnant women. But overall the vaccines and the fast way they were created were remarkable successes. Unjustified mandates for vaccination were the fault of the politicians and bureaucrats, not of the vaccines. Instead of recognizing all this, some fools and scoundrels on the right are using the less than perfect record of the Covid vaccines as reasons for skepticism about and opposition to vaccination in general. That is inexcusable.

A person can believe that Fauci was in some ways a bad person who did some harmful things without joining with people out there who are trying to do much worse.

Data Centers

 

My general opinion on artificial intelligence is that it is important but over hyped. It is, after all, just software, though surely very good and interesting software. I do think military applications will be very important, and apparently the rulers of China think so too.

There is evidence they are spending a lot of effort and money to slow down the development of AI in this country. It seems to be paying off at least a little. There are protests, scare stories, and demands for moratoria on building data centers all over the country. Some of them seem to be paying off, even here in Texas where the governor is now running scared.

It reminds me a little of the nuclear freeze/ unilateral disarmament movements and protests of the 1980s, with China rather than the Soviet Union as the beneficiary. The players (as opposed to those gulled or scared into going along) seem similar. Some of the older ones may be the same people. The objective is the same type of result - one slowing or stopping developments in this country and helping a foreign enemy gain an advantage. Of course that does not mean that all of those running and coordinating the efforts are agents of the Chinese government. Some likely are, but many probably just consistently see things as the Chinese would prefer, and for some others the dovetailing with Chinese interests may be an unnoticed coincidence. (In my state there is also a faction representing good old country boy Luddite sentiments joining the protests but not sharing much else with the other protesters. I get the impression this is less important elsewhere.)

The attempt in the 80s failed. The one now should too. Greg Abbott should show some nerve here in Texas, and other politicians should do the same in other jurisdictions -. allowing the centers to be built while dealing appropriately with any real difficulties building and operating them might bring.

Immigration

 

ICE agents shot and killed an American named Lorenzo Araujo in Houston a few days ago. I say “American” because that is what he was. He was not a citizen, and his residency papers were not in order, but he had live here for over thirty years, worked productively, created and built his own business, and raised three American sons. That makes him an American in my book, and, on the surface (which is all I can know), a pretty good one. The excuse for killing him was that he drove toward one of their agents after his vehicle was stopped. I have read that there is evidence on video contradicting that claim. Regardless, that act by itself would not justify firing on him if no one’s life was threatened. The right response to what agents claimed he did, would be for any agent who happened to be in front of the vehicle to get out of the way and then for agents to stop him and arrest him. An ordinary civilian who had to jump back from somebody pulling out toward him in a parking lot would be in trouble in most jurisdictions if he reacted by pulling out a pistol and shooting the driver dead. Employees of the government should be held to the same standard.

I understand that open borders are incompatible with a welfare state, and I surely understand that the American welfare state is not going anywhere. I think Trump’s administration was right to close the borders to illegal immigration. I do not oppose deporting illegal immigrants who are criminals or security risks or even some of those who are neither but arrived during the time of open borders during Biden’s administration. However, I believe illegal immigrants who have been in the country a good while and are settled, law abiding members of society should be left alone, especially those who have spouses or children who are citizens or permanent residents. They should not be eligible for naturalization, and surely should not vote, but they should be left alone. There are lots of good Americans among them.

Trump's Surrender

 

I supported our war with Iran. I knew it was risky to go to war with an unfit and unreliable commander in chief, but I believed the goals of freeing the people of Iran from tyranny, fully eliminating Iran’s capability to resume working on building nuclear weapons, destroying its stockpiles of and production facilities for making ballistic missiles, and having Israeli forces finish the job with Hezbollah were good ones that justified taking a chance. I was right about the goals. I was wrong about taking the chance.

I have read the memorandum of understanding between Trump and the rulers of Iran. It is a strange document. It is common for people to surrender and accept an enemy’s terms after being defeated in a war. This is the only instance I can think of of a commander in chief surrendered after his armed forces won.

There are several possibilities as to which of Trump’s flaws led to this disaster. The simplest explanation is insanity, that if his behavior seems like madness, it is. Besides, there is plenty of evidence for the idea of him having some level of serious mental incapacity in his rants, unhinged Truth Social posts, and general erratic and unstable behavior. Apart from the present disaster, there is enough for officials to consider invoking the 25^th Amendment.

Another possibility is cowardice. For the man is surely a coward - a comic, stereotypical example of the blustering bully who likes to act tough, but is not convincing with it, and cannot back it up. The TACO (Trump always chickens out) criticism has been shown to be accurate over and over well before the present war. Now we are getting another and a disastrous example of it.

A third possibility is that Trump did it because he had decided that it would be the best result for Donald Trump – not Israel, not the people of Iran, not world civilization, not the United States of America, just Trump. He may have worried that if the Iranians shot down planes, captured their crews, and used them as hostages, it would make him look like Jimmy Carter. He might have been convinced by someone (maybe Vance and his faction) that if gas prices did not come down, Republicans would lose the midterms, and he would be tormented by congressional investigations for the next two years. He may have been offered personal incentives by the rulers of some of the oil states in the Middle East. He may have just wanted to feel like a master deal maker again. Or he could have had some other imagined gain in mind.

The explanations are not mutually exclusive. My guess is that it was some of all three that led us here.

Sorsby and Texas Tech Football

 

I am a Texas Tech football fan. I would like having Brendan Sorsby playing quarterack for TTU next season. I also would like having Patrick Mahomes playing quarterback for TTU next season, but Mahomes could not do it even if he wanted to, because he is not eligible to play college football, having long since moved on to the NFL. Sorsby should not be eligible either.

The NCAA was right to ban Sorsby from the game after he was caught betting not only on college football but on a game or games the team he was on played. His guilt is not in question, and his defense is risible. Excessive gambling is not an addiction. It is a character flaw. But even if one accepts the dubious notion of the existence of an addiction to gambling, there is no way being so addicted would force someone to bet on his own team’s games, given that there are thousands of other things on which to bet. So the claim of addiction is irrelevant to the thing Sorsby did which caused him to be banned.

Texas Tech should do the right thing and announce that it will follow the NCAA’s decision and not play Sorsby during the coming football season. The ethical reason for this is clear. Sorsby is guilty according to the rules of the NCAA (and according to ordinary fairness and fair play), and TTU as a member of the NCAA is obligated to follow its rules (and should practice ordinary fairness and fair play). For those who do not worry about that, there also is a strong pragmatic reason for benching Sorsby permanently or kicking him off the team. If this is not done, TTU athletic programs will be treated as pariahs by other programs in the Big 12 and around the country, and will be subject to whatever revenge and punishment the people at the NCAA can come up with for years to come. The short term benefit of having Sorsby is not worth the long term cost, particularly since Hammond may be ready before TTU has a tough game next season.

Pride

 

Posting this again:

In the summer of 1939 much of the world was either at war or about to be. Nazi Germany had broken its promises of the year before and occupied more of Czechoslovakia. Franco’s nationalists had won the Spanish civil war. Japan’s invading forces had seized much of the coastal and some of the interior areas of China. The three most powerful armies in the world were the German, Soviet, and French, with the French army along with the British navy considered to be the bulwark against Hitler’s Germany. The United States at that time had a powerful navy (though not one ready for a two ocean war) and an army smaller than the one Belgium would field in 1940. In August Hitler and Stalin made an agreement of partnership, splitting up east central Europe between them. In September Germany and Russia invaded and partitioned Poland, starting World War II in Europe. In May of 1940 Germany attacked and defeated France, destroying the French army. By the end of that awful summer, Hitler was master of continental Europe with almost every continental nation allied with, occupied by, or friendly toward Nazi Germany, the Soviet Union as a de facto ally in the east, Asia’s greatest power Japan an ally in the Pacific, and only the British Empire as an active enemy. That was a crisis of civilization.

The United States responded by aiding and supplying Britain and later the Soviet Union after Hitler the broke the pact and invaded Russia and by strengthening its own defenses while remaining officially neutral in the war. Neutrality ended on December 7^th 1941 when Japan attacked the American navy base at Pearl Harbor, sinking or damaging the battleships of the Pacific fleet. In the next few days Germany declared war on the United States leaving America at war with great powers in both Europe and the Pacific. In less than four years after Pearl Harbor and despite early defeats, American forces accepted the unconditional surrenders of Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan, ending history’s greatest war in complete victory.

Over twelve million men served in the U.S. armed forces in the war, and millions of American women and older men worked on the home front to produce the arms and equipment for both America and its allies and co-belligerents. My father and most of my uncles served in the war. My mother and several of my aunts worked on the home front in various jobs. I am proud of them and grateful to them for it. Americans today should remember and be proud of all the Americans who helped win that war. Early June is an especially appropriate time to express that pride. Between June 4^th and 6^th in 1942 an outnumbered and outgunned U.S. naval force decisively defeated the Japanese navy at Midway in the most historically important naval battle since Trafalgar, ending Japan’s offensive in the Pacific. On June 6^th 1944, American forces landed in Normandy, securing their beachhead and beginning the great campaign leading to the destruction of Nazi Germany.

It’s a free country, and people can select what they want to be proud of and when they want to show their pride. For me each June, it will be the men and women of World War II. They deserve it along with our gratitude and remembrance. They made the world we enjoy. Very few of them are still alive. Soon all will be gone.

American Muslims and the Sharia Scare

 

Lately in my state some politicians and others have been trying to stir up hostility toward and fear of American Muslims, often by warning about a non-existent threat of Muslims imposing sharia law somewhere in the state.

Given that, it may be useful to mention things American Muslims (and everyone else) should be able to expect from their fellow Americans. They should expect that their right to practice their religion freely will be respected. They should expect their fellow Americans not to blame or condemn all of them for the crimes committed by some of them. They should expect governments to place no more restrictions on or barriers to the construction of their places of worship than are applied generally. They should expect that local, state, and federal officials, including those in public schools, will not discriminate against their religion, nor evangelize for another in any official activities. They should expect that other Americans will not question their loyalty to the United States without reason for doing so.

Of course there also are things that other Americans should require of American Muslims (as well as of everyone else). I think most American Muslims know these things well, but it would not hurt to publish  some of them for the benefit of some who may not, particularly some who have arrived from places with far different laws and customs. A list would include the following:

1) You must not rape anyone, not even your wife or a woman you believe is behaving immodestly.

2) You must not rob, steal from, or defraud anyone.

3) You must not marry or have sexual relations with any girl younger than the legal age in the state where you live.

4) You must not sexually mutilate any girl.

5) You must not behave cruelly to animals, including dogs.

6) You must not beat or otherwise physically harm any women or girls, not even in your own family.

7) You must not offer material support to any terrorist organization or foreign power hostile to the United States.

8) You must not physically attack another person.

9) You must respect the right of others to criticize, ridicule, and insult your religion and other beliefs.

America is a free country. It also is a very diverse country – religiously, philosophically, ideologically, ethnically, and culturally. We do not have to like or agree with each other. We do have to respect each others rights.

Primary Runoffs in Texas

 

Texas is holding runoff primary elections this week with early voting ending today and election day next Tuesday. There are strange things going on, stranger than usual. The most noticeable is the cult of personality around Trump. Republican candidates, especially in races for seats in the US senate and house, but also in races for state and even some local offices, are running mainly on their unquestioned loyalty to him, and often attacking opponents for their supposed insufficient adoration of the man. If candidate A says he will lick Trump’s shoes, B replies that A is a Rino who will lick only the top of Trump’s shoes while he gladly will lick the soles. I have not seen anything like it in this state. Candidates usually argue over and lie about things they claim to believe and things they want to do for the state or district and its voters. There is some of that as well, but the big issue is who is more MAGA, and who loves and will serve Trump the best. It is at best creepy and strikes me as quite a bit worse than only creepy.  

The race for the Republican nomination for a US senate seat is also unusual in other ways. John Cornyn, an incumbent, multi-term US senator, is likely to lose, despite a general agreement that he would be a stronger candidate in the general election than his shady opponent Ken Paxton. Trump has endorsed Paxton. A person might think that a win for Paxton would create an opportunity for Democrats in the general election. It could have if Democrats had found a Lloyd Bentsen or a Henry Cisneros to be their candidate, but they did not. Instead they selected a wimpy Austin leftist with a long and revealing paper and online trail, who probably will lose to Paxton even with that plastic Jesus up there on his dashboard. A person almost could think that they wanted to show they can be more stupidly self destructive that even the Republicans.

As has been true in American politics in general for the last decade, you have to ask where are Mencken, Twain, and O’Rourke now that we need them?

Boomers Okay

 

I think most generalizations, apart from purely statistical ones, about American generations are silly. They are usually disparaging (except about the World War II generation) and say more about the prejudices and resentments of those making them than about their subject. We boomers are used to it, having gotten them from our elders when we were young, from conservative traditionalists all along, and now from some young people who dismiss us and our opinions as irrelevant and out of touch, often with the phrase “okay boomer”.

Probably the best response to “okay boomer” is to laugh it off, but if a person wants a rude rejoinder there is an obvious one. He could say “ We are indeed okay. The success of our WWII generation parents made our childhoods mainly prosperous and pleasant. In our youth we enjoyed a flourishing of sexual and other freedom. We established our careers in the boom years of the 1980s and 1990s, generally did okay thereafter, and now control most of the wealth in the country, besides collecting full social security. Our years in retirement are healthier, wealthier, and full of more fun and adventure than those of any before us. And our music was better than the crap you have to listen to today. So, yeah, we’re okay. How are you making out?”.

I still recommend just laughing “okay boomer” off, but if a person wanted to say something, this would be better than “whippersnapper” or “get off my lawn” or making some dumb generalization about the critic’s generation.

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Bad Movies from Good Novels

 

For some reason I was thinking a day or so ago about bad movies made from good novels. It certainly is possible to make a really good movie based on a good novel. John Huston’s Maltese Falcon shows that. However, I think it is difficult because of the differences between the two forms, and very few of the very good movies I have seen are based on novels, good or otherwise.

On the other hand, there are plenty of bad ones. I do not know of any movie version of Tom Sawyer or Huckleberry Finn that I could stomach watching. The movie version of the Guns of Navarone is bad in an unpleasant way. The novel is a straightforward adventure story of daring and heroism in World War II. The screenwriter Carl Foreman was a (former?) communist who according to reports wanted to turn the story into an anti-war one. If that had been done in an upfront way, keeping the title and the names of some of the characters but telling a different story (in the way the Dean Martin Matt Helm movies turned grim, tough novels into silly comedies), the result probably would have been a bad movie, but not such a dishonest one. Instead there was a shady attempt to have it both ways – keeping enough of the novel’s daring events to get an audience while preaching a minor league Bridge on the River Kwai counterpoint on the futility of war.

The most disappointing  one I know about is the movie version of The Fountainhead. Almost everything about it is bad, starting with the cast. Gary Cooper was badly miscast as Howard Roark, and gave a wooden and unconvincing performance, particularly in his droning speech in the courtroom. Patricia Neal later became a fine actress, bur her Dominique Francon got very little of the character. The performance of the actor playing Toohey was bad enough to leave a person wondering if the film was going to end with him tying Dominique to the railroad tracks. Among the main characters, only Raymond Massey as Wynand was adequate. Ayn Rand’s script as shot (and the usual story is that it was shot as she wrote it) is stilted and uncinematic. Vidor’s direction captured nothing of the strength, fire, and intensity of the book, and some of the scenes are amateurishly bad. Even the architectural drawings and sets are lame.

It is too bad. It might  have been a possible to make good movie. A person can imagine what could have been done with, say, Orson Welles directing and playing Roark, Barbara Stanwyck as Dominique, Clifton Webb as Toohey, and some cinematic freedom from the rigidity of Rand’s script. But that is just pointless wishful thinking. Maybe someday somebody good will give it another try.

NATO

 

For over seven decades NATO has been a good thing in the world – good for Europe, good for the United States, good for defending and expanding liberal civilization. Armies from NATO countries - mainly German, British, and American - defended the front line against the Soviet Union during the cold war. After that war was won, NATO expanded to include and protect nations liberated from the Soviet empire. For most of its history, the value and existence of the alliance were accepted without any serious controversy in both Europe and the United States.. (Agents and leftist supporters of the Soviets and later the Russians were opposed, but their opposition did not have much effect.)

In the last few years that has changed, and NATO has a new set of enemies on the political right. Some are old fashioned isolationists who oppose alliances and involvement with Europe in principle. Some are Christian national conservatives who argue that Europe has become so decadent, irreligious, and authoritarian as to be no better or even worse than Putin’s Russia, and thus not being worth protecting from it. Some, including Trump, take the transactional view that the alliance is not a paying proposition. Others, now including Trump, believe the Europeans and Canadians are perfidious pseudo allies who expect America’s protection but will not reciprocate when their help is requested. Almost all of these critics see the alliance as an example of the evils of globalism.

All of this is wrong. The United States cannot return safely to isolationism. Our two oceans no longer provide adequate protection, and the Royal Navy no longer keeps the sea lanes open for the world’s commerce. The Europeans and Canadians have done things making it easier for their national conservative critics. With Finland punishing public expression of Christian doctrines, Britain arresting people for posting unapproved comments on line or praying in the wrong place, Canada planning to ban some religious expression, and many other examples, it is true that some members of NATO have become less liberal and more authoritarian in the last few years (as has Hungary, though in a direction the national conservatives generally like). However, Canada and the European members of NATO are still far more nearly liberal societies than Putin’s murderous dictatorship in Russia. The purpose of the alliance is not to make the United States treasury more flush. In keeping Russia from dominating Europe, the alliance remains beneficial to the interests of the United States, irrespective of whether the rest of the allies should be paying more of its costs. Then there is the war with Iran. The European allies made a mistake in denying our forces use of their bases and access to their airspace. But Trump started the war on his own without involving members of NATO (or the United States congress) in the decision or planning, and there was little or nothing European armed forces could have done to provide any direct help in the war in any fairly short time, if at all. (The Royal Navy, for one, demonstrated its uselessness vividly in the fiasco over Cyprus.) As to globalism, international trade and cooperation have contributed importantly to much of the economic and other progress in the world since World War II. Overall we are better for them.

The isolationists need to be ignored. The national conservatives with their dogmas need to be kept away from any influence over foreign policy, and Trump needs to calm down. The Canadians and Europeans need the alliance. So do the Americans.

Ranking Presidents

 

It is usual in February and March to think and hear talk about ranking presidents. To me there are only three good answers as to the greatest – Washington, Lincoln, or a tie between them.

There were others who did great things while in the office – Jefferson with the Louisiana purchase, Reagan with the Cold War, FDR with World War II – and a number more who would qualify as good presidents. But Washington and Lincoln stand out. One during his administration set the standard for the office and did more than anyone else to make sure that the earlier victory in a revolution for the principles of liberty led to a stable constitutional republic based on those principles. A person only has to look at the outcomes of other revolutions around the world to see how rare and great an accomplishment that was. The other saved that republic in its greatest crisis and corrected its worst fault. (I believe they were not only the greatest presidents, but also the greatest men to hold the office.)

A t the other end of things, there is the question of who is the worst president in the country’s history. These days a lot of people would say Donald Trump. He is bad enough, but without knowing what will happen in the rest of his term, it is too early to put him at the bottom of a list that includes James Buchanan and Woodrow Wilson.

However, if one were to judge only on the basis of character as revealed in public behavior and demeanor, there is a strong argument that he qualifies as the worst human being to hold the office. And that  does not require waiting a couple of years to see how things go.

Dogs, Muslims, and Politicians

 

The question of Muslims’ hostility toward dogs and desire to ban their ownership is not a facetious one. According to the news, such bans are being considered in parts of Britain. Recently an Islamic writer posted the following: “Finally NYC is coming to Islam. Dogs definitely have a place in society, just not as indoor pets. Like we said all along, they are unclean”. A Republican congressman Randy Fine responded this way:” If they force us to choose, the choice between dogs and Muslims is not a difficult one”.

I see nothing wrong with the congressman’s comment.  He did not demean Muslims or even criticize the irrational hatred many of them have for man’s best friend. It is important to see that the only way a choice between dogs and Muslims could could up in America is by a group of Muslims saying  they would leave the country if Americans did not get rid of their dogs. In that very unlikely situation, I think most Americans would say “don’t leave mad, just leave.” And they would be right to say it.

The reaction from some on the left has been amusing to observe. Hakeem Jeffries called Fine’s comments racist, showing himself to be at best an ignoramus and more likely a lying scoundrel. Islam is not a race. (There are Muslims of various races, including millions of white ones.) It is a religion, a body of belief. As with any other body of belief, people are free to like or dislike it and to approve or disapprove of it based on its content. Race has nothing to do with it. It will be interesting to see if Jeffries yells racism the next time someone criticizes or jokes about evangelical Christians, since, you know, many of them are non-white.

Lincoln

 

Today is Lincoln’s birthday. Many people will be thinking about his greatness, his eloquence, his character, and his accomplishments. Some will feel gratitude and pride that this country once had such a man as its president. Some will be making angry or rueful comparisons between him and the vicious scoundrel now in the White House. A few may be taking time to read some of his speeches and writings. All these things are appropriate, but I think there is something more he would have wanted from us. From his example we should take increased devotion to his great cause, to a new birth of freedom, and to making our country once again the last best hope on earth. We have some troubles now, but nothing like the troubles of his time. Those who care about the liberal principles of liberty, individual rights, and a constitutional republic of the people should avoid depression or despair and bear down.

Stolen Lands Again

 

Leftists are fond of claiming that all of America is “stolen land” taken from the Indians and making “acknowledgments” about it. Conservatives observe correctly that this has not led to leftists handing things they own over to any Indians, and the charge of hypocrisy is accurate. However it misses the most important point. It is possible for hypocrites to be right in principle about something on which they are hypocritical. It is necessary to refute the claims, not just show the leftists are being phonies.

The notion of theft presupposes the notion of property. If there were no property, that is things that rightly belong to someone, there could be no theft. People acquire property rights to land in a wilderness by settling it – by building permanent dwellings such as a town or village on it or by farming , ranching, mining, or otherwise developing it. Moving through land on nomadic hunting trips, having a small village within miles of it, or marching across it in the name of the King of Spain does not acquire property rights to it. Some of the land in what is now the United States was fully settled by Indians, and any newcomers should have respected their property, and, if they wanted it, bought it from them (which often happened as when the Dutch bought Manhattan). Those who did otherwise were wrong. However most of the continent north of the Rio Grande was wilderness belonging to no one. It was not stolen and could not have been stolen.

It is interesting that the proponents of the idea of America as stolen lands seem mainly to be socialists and communists who generally deny the whole idea of property rights, showing that if one hates America enough, any excuse will do, and any inconsistency is acceptable. Some others are rich, posturing phonies who deserve to be called on their phoniness. It would be amusing to see what the defense would be if some Vermont Indians showed up in court demanding ownership of, say, a famous ice cream factory in the state, or some California Indians laid claim to a well known singer’s mansion. That would be worth paying to watch.

Petti's Shooting

 

There are some things about the killing of Alex Pretti that are obvious even without having full information. It is hard to claim self defense for shooting a man lying or kneeling down on the ground helpless. The fact that an American citizen with a concealed carry permit has a concealed weapon on his person is not evidence that he is a crazed terrorist out to shoot up a bunch of feds, and certainly not justification for shooting him. The interesting thing about the government’s story on the killing is what its people are no longer saying. They now do not claim Pretti fired, brandished, or even drew his pistol. Instead they are saying only that he was armed. The evidence I have seen so far points to murder, followed by a very weak cover up and a lot of lying.

An observant person expects politicians and bureaucrats to lie. There is nothing unusual about that (though Trump is a bigger and more frequent liar than most). What is a little unusual in this case is how poorly and ineptly the lying was done, and how easily video evidence refuted it. An observant person also expects politicians to be unprincipled and willing to ignore or even contradict and reject their professed beliefs when it is expedient to do so. Still it was somewhat unusual for officials of the party and administration claiming to support the Second Amendment and the right of self defense to announce that the fact that an American citizen with a concealed carry license had a gun on him proved that he needed killing or at least brought his death on himself. That should cause some pro-Second Amendment people to wonder if Trump is really on their side or just playing them for useful suckers.

People are right to worry about the authoritarian tendencies of Trump and his administration. But they can take some consolation and feel some relief in noticing how seriously incompetent many in  Trump’s gang are.   It may not be much in the way of good news, but it is something.

Being the World's Boy Scouts

 

I like having been the world’s boy scouts. I like having a country that did so much good in the world. I like having a country that saved the world from fascist tyranny in World War II. I like having a country that rebuilt western Europe and Japan after that war and led former tyrannies to become stable, fairly liberal democracies. I like having a country that fought and won a decades long cold war with Soviet communism that led to the liberation of the countries of central and eastern Europe. I like our country being that last, best hope of which Lincoln spoke.

Donald Trump does not. He has no use for liberal principles, liberal societies, or the cause of liberty in the world. His ideas on foreign policy and international relations are closer to those of Putin or Mussolini than those of FDR, John Kennedy, or Ronald Reagan. (It is an interesting experience to listen to speeches by any of those three and then read one of Trump’s screeds on Truth Social.) In a very deep way his behavior is both anti-American and a repudiation of Americanism. In regard to Greenland it is also nuts. He is a disgrace, and he is doing his best to disgrace this country. Regardless of the various and conflicting things we are for politically, decent Americans need to stand up together and make it clear that this is something we are against.

TTU and Oregon

 

Texas Tech’s football team had a very good season, winning the Big 12 twelve conference championship and being seeded as one of the top four teams in the country for the playoffs. Then it lost to Oregon 23-0. Some people took the loss as a sign that the program was not ready for prime time and unable to compete against the top teams in the country. I think they were wrong. TTU’s defense performed very well in the game. The offense failed completely from play calling, to line play, to the running backs, receivers, and especially the quarterback, but I do not think this indicated Tech being completely over matched. Oregon had a good team, but its defense had given up 34 points to James Madison, 24 points to a Penn State team so bad that its coach got fired in the middle of the season, and , of course, got humiliated against Indiana in the next round of the playoffs. Experts say offenses need to get in a rhythm. TTU’s got off to a bad start, and things just went downhill. I have seen similar things in super bowls where it is safe to assume both teams were ready for prime time. To me it seems better to write the game off as one where the offense picked a bad time for its worst performance and not to relapse into the old TTU inferiority complex.