Thursday, August 27, 2026

Correction on Data Centers

 

In an earlier post on data centers I failed to  separate the issue of AI centers for military use from that of AI centers for civilian use. Development on the military side should go full speed ahead to avoid being put at a disadvantage by China (but I would assume military AI centers should be placed in hardened sites with their own sources of power anyway). While I think the freaking out over data centers is excessive and sometimes silly, civilian use AI data centers should be built only where there are adequate sources of power and water, and their owners should pay for any improvements to utilities needed to support them. It does not hurt to slow down and make sure those conditions will be met.  I should have understood  and appreciated the differences between the two cases.


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Sunday, August 23, 2026

Fauci and Covid

 

Anthony Fauci was back in the new lately, both for refusing to answer questions under oath about what he did during the Covid epidemic (despite having a presidential pardon in his pocket) and for things in a diary he kept during the epidemic. Many Trumpists and some ordinary Republicans saw this as evidence that everything or almost everything officials did about the epidemic was wrong, and everything or almost everything they said during the epidemic was a lie. Many leftists and some ordinary Democrats took the positions that there really was nothing to see, that Fauci and other officials did a fine job and dealt honestly with the public, that officials had no political biases and nothing to hide or cover up, and, for many, that Fauci was still a saint, but now also a persecuted one. It was an embarrassing and silly show from both factions.


Fauci behaved dishonestly. He suppressed evidence that the disease originated in the virology lab in Wuhan, likely at least partially because he and colleagues had had a hand in funding and supporting activities at the lab which led to development of the virus. During the epidemic he frequently ignored obvious uncertainties and dismissed reasonable doubts, including some of his own, to deliver apodictic sounding statements to the public. He was arrogant and vain , to the point of declaring that he “was” science. If there is another crisis in public health, it will be harder to get the public to believe it or to trust officials to know what to do about it, partly because of things he said and did.


Many things went wrong during the Covid epidemic. Closing schools was wrong. Shutting down much of the economic and social life of the nation was wrong. Requesting or requiring the same behavior from healthy young people who had little risk as from the old people who really were in danger was wrong. The draconian enforcement of masking was wrong and also demeaning annoying, and idiotic. Suppressing evidence and attempting to squelch discussion about the origin of the disease was wrong. Over selling the effectiveness of the vaccines was wrong and counterproductive. Public health officials and American politicians, including two presidents, did not perform optimally, and often not even adequately.


None of this justifies some of the stuff we are hearing from the right. There is an absurd claim from some conservatives that Covid was no big deal, but rather something no more significant or dangerous than the yearly flu. Some call it the Wu-flu or something similar. That is nonsense. In each of the years 2020 and 2021 several hundred thousand more Americans died than in years before 2020 or after 2021. There were increases in deaths from some other causes in those two years, but, after factoring for them, there remain over 300,000 deaths in 2020 and over 400,000 in 2021 from Covid. The data on this are easy to get with a simple internet search for deaths in each year by cause.


Then there is the claim that the vaccines were ineffective and useless or worse. The evidence is strong that the mRNA vaccines worked well when they first came out and, especially when augmented by annual booster shots, worked fairly well at preventing infection and making infections less severe later on. Development and approval of the vaccines were rushed. Some people had unpleasant reactions to the shots. There should have more caution about effects on pregnant women. But overall the vaccines and the fast way they were created were remarkable successes. Unjustified mandates for vaccination were the fault of the politicians and bureaucrats, not of the vaccines. Instead of recognizing all this, some fools and scoundrels on the right are using the less than perfect record of the Covid vaccines as reasons for skepticism about and opposition to vaccination in general. That is inexcusable.


A person can believe that Fauci was in some ways a bad person who did some harmful things without joining with people out there who are trying to do much worse.



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Saturday, August 08, 2026

Data Centers

 

My general opinion on artificial intelligence is that it is important but over hyped. It is, after all, just software, though surely very good and interesting software. I do think military applications will be very important, and apparently the rulers of China think so too.


There is evidence they are spending a lot of effort and money to slow down the development of AI in this country. It seems to be paying off at least a little. There are protests, scare stories, and demands for moratoria on building data centers all over the country. Some of them seem to be paying off, even here in Texas where the governor is now running scared.


It reminds me a little of the nuclear freeze/ unilateral disarmament movements and protests of the 1980s, with China rather than the Soviet Union as the beneficiary. The players (as opposed to those gulled or scared into going along) seem similar. Some of the older ones may be the same people. The objective is the same type of result - one slowing or stopping developments in this country and helping a foreign enemy gain an advantage. Of course that does not mean that all of those running and coordinating the efforts are agents of the Chinese government. Some likely are, but many probably just consistently see things as the Chinese would prefer, and for some others the dovetailing with Chinese interests may be an unnoticed coincidence. (In my state there is also a faction representing good old country boy Luddite sentiments joining the protests but not sharing much else with the other protesters. I get the impression this is less important elsewhere.)


The attempt in the 80s failed. The one now should too. Greg Abbott should show some nerve here in Texas, and other politicians should do the same in other jurisdictions -. allowing the centers to be built while dealing appropriately with any real difficulties building and operating them might bring.


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