Unpopular Maybe, But Lucky
One of the things about Trump that many people in the
traditional media do not understand is that he probably does not have to score very well in “approval
rating” polls to be reelected. The
reason for this is simple. He likely will benefit more than is usual by being seen
as the less bad of two poor choices.
There are many people who do not approve of the man as a person because of his arrogant, blustering,
rude, dishonest, demagogic, and grossly un-presidential behavior, but will vote for him in a race against a leftist
Democrat. (A poll taken after the
election in 2016 attributed Trump’s victory to his doing better than Hillary
Clinton among voters who disliked both of them.) I did not vote for Trump in
2016, but I would have if Texas had been in play. Since it wasn’t, I cast a protest
vote for Gary Johnson. If Texas is in
play 2020, I will vote for Trump against any of the candidates now running as
Democrats. Their policies, plans, and “aspirations” are so bad and dangerous as
to make such a decision easy. However I don’t like it, and I do not think I am
alone.
If the Dems could
come up with a Jack Kennedy or even a Jim Webb as a nominee, I think
many people who usually vote for the Republicans would be ready to vote for him
against Trump. However that is so unlikely as to be nearly
impossible. Trump was lucky in his
opponent in 2016 and seems on track to be even luckier in 2020. Considering
both his base of those who are his fans and
the many others who are not but will vote for him as the lesser evil, he
looks pretty salty.