Monday, November 30, 2020

Trump's Claims and Trump's Voters

 There are two questions about Trump’s claim of enough fraud in enough states by Democrats to steal an election he says he won.  The first is whether his lawyers can present enough evidence to win lawsuits in enough places. It seems clear that is not going to happen, and Biden will get the electoral votes from the states he won and become president.

The second is what to say to the  people who voted for him and  believe Trump is right even if his lawyers cannot make a good enough case in court.  That one is also important.  According to the news,  millions of people who voted for Trump believe he was cheated out of a victory. Many Trumpers and conservatives in the media certainly do. It would be good to persuade them to change their minds.

It might help to consider some of the claims from Trump. The fact of him  being well ahead in some states until absentee and other mail in ballots were counted would be reason for suspicion in a normal election, but not in one in which he urged his voters to vote on election day, while his opponent urged his to vote early and by mail. There is problem with the  story of a truck arriving in the middle of the night in one state with a load of thousands of ballots for Biden  in trash cans and boxes.  At a time when so many people carry smart phones, one would think that if the story were true, somebody would have photos or video of the truck and people unloading it.  I know of no one having published any.  There are stories of Democrats collecting blank mail in ballots from non-voters and using them to cast votes for Biden.  We  have seen no photos or videos of Dems going door to door in big cities before the election collecting such ballots, and if it happened with thousands of ballots, it seems likely we would have.  It has been claimed that more than a hundred percent of registered voters voted in many  counties or precincts. It would  be simple to post a spreadsheet and supporting screen shots of official data from 2020 showing this  if it happened, but Trump’s people have not done so.  There is a claim  that software on computer systems from Dominion  that was used in elections in several states  allowed tampering to change millions of votes from Trump to Biden.  It should be easy to get machines identical to those used in the states, load them with the software and a set of results, alter those  results, list the checks and controls used in the states using the system, and demonstrate those were inadequate to catch the switch.   We have not seen that either.

 His supporters have good reasons to be skeptical of officials and people in the traditional media. They should realize they also have good reasons to be skeptical of Trump and require him to back up what he says about the election with facts. He is not an honest man, and he lies a lot.  Instead they are taking him on faith, a bad idea with any politician. They would be happier, and the country would be better off,  if they would hold Trump to the same standard of proof to which they would hold a politician they didn’t like, accept the loss, relax, move on, and wait for next time.   

They probably will have to get there on their own. I doubt if Trump will be changing his story  any time soon.  His behavior it getting stranger not less strange, and there is little reason to believe he will care enough about what this is doing to the country to stop. I’m not looking forward to Biden, but I am looking forward to Trump’s being gone.

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